Every few years the housing market rewrites the rules, and buyers who learned the last set of rules show up unprepared for the new ones. Right now, the rules have changed more than they have at any point in a generation. The buyers who understand that are finding deals. The ones who do not are making expensive mistakes.
Home prices at the national level have remained well above their pre-pandemic levels even as sales volume collapsed. The reason is supply. Homeowners who locked in three percent mortgages in 2020 and 2021 have almost no incentive to sell, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.
Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. But affordability being stretched does not mean prices are about to fall sharply. What it means, practically, is that fewer people can compete for each property.
Your credit score affects your rate more directly than most buyers realize. Moving your score up by 40 points before you apply can be worth more than months of rate watching. If your score has room to improve, pull your reports, find the issues, and address them before you start shopping seriously.
If the report surfaces findings that change the financial picture of the deal, you have real choices, and walking away is a legitimate one of them. You can request a credit against the purchase price to handle repairs yourself. The one thing to avoid is accepting everything uncritically because you are afraid of losing the deal.
Budget two to four percent of the purchase price for closing costs, on top of your down payment. First-time buyers routinely underestimate this number. Ask your lender for a Loan Estimate with a realistic purchase price so the numbers reflect what you are actually going to face.
For buyers with the financial cushion to handle a repair bill without panic, this market is full of opportunity that distracted or impatient buyers miss. The homes that meet real criteria at a realistic price are still moving. They are moving to buyers who showed up prepared.
Buyers who take the time to do their homework tend to find that the market is more navigable than the headlines suggest. Before you commit to a direction, browsing homes for sale and market resources can sharpen your picture of what is actually available in your price range.